Libya – a catastrophe waiting to happen.

To me things are not looking good in Libya. The West is caught in a cleft stick. If we intervene it will be seen as meddling & whichever army it is American NATO or whatever, will itself become the target. If the West doesn’t intervene there is I would say a good chance that Gaddafi will prevail. Certainly he seems to have Tripoli locked up. He certainly doesn’t seem to be on the edge of surrendering there. If he manages to get enough fighters he might well break out & re-conquer what he regards as his domain. He would have to break out of Tripoli but in war it is impossible to predict what will happen.

There has been much wishful thinking. Much has been said that shouldn’t have been said. If Gaddafi prevails there will be a bloodbath.

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